Archives for October 2007

BlogPoll Ballot, Week #6

Rank Team Delta
1 LSU
2 California
3 Ohio State
4 Boston College 3
5 South Florida
6 Missouri 9
7 South Carolina 19
8 Arizona State 6
9 Oklahoma
10 Cincinnati 2
11 Oregon 1
12 Virginia Tech 6
13 Illinois 7
14 Hawaii 5
15 Kentucky 7
16 West Virginia 9
17 Kansas 9
18 Wisconsin 12
19 Southern Cal 15
20 Florida 9
21 Connecticut 5
22 Virginia 4
23 Tennessee 3
24 Auburn 2
25 Florida State 1

Dropped Out: Texas (#13), Purdue (#16), Georgia (#17), Miami (Florida) (#21), Michigan State (#23), Rutgers (#24).

A few thoughts:

Sylvester Yon Rambo is our man in Connecticut, which accounts for their rise into our polls. If you’ve got a question about Huskies Football, he’s your man.

Our rankings are all over the place. Some of us decided to drop USC and/or Florida from our ballots. Both are still decent teams, and I can promise they’ll be playing spoilers down the road.

We were hoping (for more than one reason) that Kentucky would be victorious over South Carolina, mostly because we left them off our ballot last week, which was a huge mistake. A mistake that has largely been corrected.

As always, these are opinions of teams that we have thoughtfully considered, then threw into a hat and picked out at random. Berate us, if you must, in the comments.

Sorry for the delay in the Purdue Performance Evaluations, they’ll be up sometime tomorrow.

Week #6: Purdue Open Thread

OSU FootballThe Purdue Boilermakers welcome your Ohio State Buckeyes to Gatorade (or Kool-Aid, or whatever it’s called) Stadium this weekend. While this game isn’t the spotlight game of the week (a little showdown in the SEC is supposed to be pretty good, too) this game still promises to be fun. At least for the guys in the Scarlet and Gray.

They say you should know your foe. The Buckeyes know what they’re facing. Do you? Buckeye Planet, The O-Zone and 11 Warriors are here to drop some preview knowledge.

The sportsMonkey posted some numbers of common opponents between OSU and Purdue, so there’s a place to discuss that aspect of the game. Purdue doesn’t frighten me as much as Tiller’s mustache frightens dogs. They’ll gain some yards, but they’ll give up just as many, probably more. It’s a matter of taking care of the ball and keeping their offense off the field. That means a combination of ball control on offense and some lockdown defense for some three-and-outs. Plus, it wouldn’t hurt if Gholston and Heyward put a serious hurt on Painter.

What others are saying (this will be updated as more people post their picks):

Everyday Should Be Saturday:

Purdue is averaging 45 points per game, all the better to capture the faces of disillusioned home crowd when Ohio State methodically, mercilessly snuff the life out of Curtis Painter’s season.

Bemusement Park:

Purdue has been putting up arenaball numbers all season. They have yet to face a defense ranked in the top 100 nationally.

Ohio State is a top 2 defense.

Purdue, on the other hand, has the tenth-best defense . . . in the Big Ten. Crikey, they gave up 19 points to Notre Dame!

It wouldn’t be a MotSaG Open Thread without some discussion points. Here are a few to chew on:

  • How many yards do you think Ohio State will give up to the high-flying Purdue Offense? 300? 400?
  • Who has a bigger impact on the game: Ray Small or Brandon Saine (assuming he plays)?
  • Does Ohio State gain more yards on the ground or through the air?
  • Final Score?

el Kaiser
Yards OSU gives up: 340 yards, but almost all of it in passing yards
Saine or Small: Even if Saine plays, I’d still go with Small. I predict he breaks a big return for TD in the next couple of games, so now is as good as ever.
OSU Yards: I’m going with an even split — 220 on the ground, 220 through the air.
Final Score: OSU 37 – Purdue 10

Sylvester Yon-Rambo
Yards OSU gives up: 272 yards……we can shut down this offense easily if Gholston plays his game.
Saine or Small: Saine I am hoping it means we are playing our 3rd team RB…….which means we are blowing them out early.
OSU Yards: I say we have 320 yards in the air and 240 on the ground.
Final Score: OSU 38 – Purdue 6

sportsMonkey
Yards OSU gives up: 310, about 40 of it rushing
Saine or Small: Tressel said Saine would play “about 20 snaps,” so he’ll only get about 8-10 carries. Small is starting to hit his stride.
OSU Yards: Most on the ground, unless Tressel has to play catch-up.
Final Score: OSU 24 – Purdue 16

Link Round-up, Week #6

Blog/site newsOSU FootballThe link round-up is tastier when it simmers an extra day. The links for your perusal:

First off, if you’re a Buckeye fan outside of the Midwest and you barely get to see Ohio State games, this week will be a treat, as pretty much the whole country will be watching OSU/Purdue Saturday evening. This is good. All eyes (that aren’t on LSU/Florida) will be on the Buckeyes, giving them a chance to show the country that the Big Ten is still an elite conference. It is!

We all expected that Tressel-ball would be making a return to the ‘Shoe, what with an untested QB and young offense, but that really hasn’t been the case. This offense has scored 10 of the last 12 times in less than two minutes. That’s called taking care of business.

Yes, it’s very fun and exciting to dog the Big Ten and the hard-headed reliance on 3-yards and yadda yadda, but some people would say that’s crazy talk. From the article:

Surely you do it. SEC snobs chortle that fat slobs in leather helmets and Army boots play Big Ten football — in shades of flickering black and white, of course.

Sunday Morning QB looks at the OSU/Purdue matchup. He points out a fact that should be disheartening to Purdue fans everywhere:

Purdue still hasn’t beaten a team that finished with a winning record since it opened against Akron (7-6 at year’s end) in 2005.

Have you got your App State gear? People are trying to strike while the iron is hot: Men of the Black and Gold?

Some non-OSU items

The Indians blew up the Yankees
in grand fashion Thursday night, taking a 1-0 lead in the ALDS, knocking the crap out of the ball, hitting four taters and getting bunches of runs with two outs. Kenny Lofton stepped into a ten-year time warp and played lights out. This bodes very, very well. Carmona faces the Yankees next. Let’s go Tribe!

This probably deserved its own post, but the thought of Braylon Edwards doing the O-H chant is surely a sign of the apocalypse. Are there any pictures of this? I would pay thousands of Buckeye Bucks for a picture. If Kellen Winslow Jr. joined him, my head would explode.

Data on Common Opponents – Purdue

OSU FootballEach week from now until the end of the season, we’ll be publishing a couple of tables that show relevant statistics between the common opponents of OSU and their next foe.

At first, the tables will be thin. (As of now, OSU and Purdue only have one common opponent, hence why the data in each row is identical). As the season goes on, however, the data will become more comprehensive.

Like last year, we’ve only included the following ‘important’ stats: total points (Pts), total yards (Yds), total first downs (Dwns), and turnovers (TOs); for each team and its opponent (Opp).

Table 1: Purdue

PURDUE Pts Pts (opp) Yds Yds (opp) Frst Dwns Dwns (opp) TOs TOs (opp)
Minnesota 45 31 504 469 28 25 1 4
TOTAL 45 31 504 469 28 25 1 4
Average 45 31 504 469 28 25 1 4

 

Table 2: Ohio State

OHIO ST Pts Pts (opp) Yds Yds (opp) Frst Dwns Dwns (opp) TOs TOs (opp)
Minnesota 30 7 459 277 24 15 1 2
TOTAL 30 7 459 277 24 15 1 2
Average 30 7 459 277 24 15 1 2

 

Notes:
With only one common opponent between the two teams, it’s hard to draw conclusions. Still, OSU’s defensive numbers are better across the board, keeping the Gophers’ offense to ten fewer first downs and just over half the yardage that Purdue allowed. (Note: two of Minnesota’s four TOs were “on downs.”) The number that stands out the strongest is in points allowed – Purdue’s 31 to OSU’s 7.

Offensively, note that Purdue scored more (45 pts) with a similar amount of offensive production (yardage-wise) as the Bucks had. This suggests that Purdue’s offense was moving the ball easier than the Bucks’ offense was. However, this should be taken with a grain of salt: the two coaches ran very different offensive schemes. Tiller depended on the pass (338 passing, 166 rushing), where Tressel used the run (209 passing, 250 rushing). One of the problems in using only one set of data points, I guess.

That’s enough analysis from me. This is meant to generate discussion, not be a MotSaG lecture/opinion post, so please share your two cents in the comments.

Weekly Vernon Gholston shot

Vernon Gholston

This one reminds me of one of those AT&T commercials.

“Vernon Gholston is the new QB Sacker”

2007 Starting Lines

cbjlogonew.jpgEarlier this week, the Blue Jackets released the starting forward lines for the 2007 season (LW/C/RW):

    First Line: Nash / Fedorov / Vyborny
    Second Line: Chimera / Novotny / Zherdev
    Third Line: Modin* / Peca* / Brule
    Fourth Line: Fritsche / Malhotra / Boll
    “Fifth” Line: Shelly / Beech** / Glencross

*Note: After these lines were announced, the Jackets put Peca, Modin, and Foote on IR.
**Note: Beech has been put on waivers.

As always, if you want previews and analysis, head on over to EOB for Drew & Truth Serum’s comprehensive evaluation.

All that can be said at this point is that the team looks talented, if a bit shallow and green in too many places. Between the pipes, Leclaire and Norrena are neck-and-neck for the starting position, with Leclaire getting the home starts and Norrena getting the away ones (for now). Fritsche looks low, but I wonder if that was a prescient choice; with the injuries and age ahead of him, no doubt he’ll be bumped up in no time. Same with Malhotra.

The elephant-not-in-the-room is Brassard, which initially seems like a shame. However, the office is taking the patient route with him, so it’s a wait-and-see at this point. More time in development is going to do nothing but make him better down the road.

Also note how Sergei moved back up to the first line during preseason. Good for him, but the cynic inside me says that this probably reveals some weaknesses.

Watch out for Jared Boll on that fourth line, who’s making a name for himself. Boll is the padawan to Shelly’s Yoda. He’ll be a fan favorite in no time.

That’s about it for the players. As for the arena, well, we have some new toys this year. Bring your earplugs to the games!

Blogpoll Ballot, Week #5

Rank Team Delta
1 LSU
2 California 6
3 Ohio State 2
4 Southern Cal 1
5 South Florida 15
6 Wisconsin 4
7 Boston College 5
8 Kentucky 5
9 Oklahoma 7
10 Oregon 1
11 Florida 7
12 Cincinnati 4
13 Texas 6
14 Arizona State 9
15 Missouri 3
16 Purdue 1
17 Georgia 4
18 Virginia Tech 4
19 Hawaii 4
20 Illinois 6
21 Miami (Florida) 5
22 Auburn 4
23 Michigan State 4
24 Rutgers 13
25 West Virginia 19

Dropped Out: Clemson (#14), Alabama (#24), Kansas (#25).

A few observations:

  • A couple of our voters were late getting their polls done, so this is just a reflection of theMonkey and my “internal” ballots.
  • We both wavered on #1 and #2. Should Cal be there? Their victory over Oregon was probably more impressive than LSU leading Tulane 10-9 at halftime, but LSU has firepower that cannot be denied. Luckily, the story continues to unfold this weekend.
  • I’m wondering why neither of us have South Carolina ranked. That is an oversight on my part, for sure. I think they’re going to ruin a lot of fan’s days on Saturday (see below). We’ll correct that oversight if it was, indeed, an oversight.
  • Our ranking of OSU over USC is solely on the fact of our common opponent (Washington) under similar conditions (in Washington) where we dominated the second half and won 33-14 whereas USC was taken down to the wire and won 27-24. Not sure if this lines up exactly with how were “supposed” to rank teams, but we’re homers and we needed an excuse. I’d still prefer to have OSU cruising under the radar at 8 or 9, but sometimes things don’t go according to plans.
  • Ranking USF and Kentucky so high makes me nervous. Both are heading for big disappointment. Kentucky’s could come as early as Saturday.

Any comments or suggestions? Let us know in the comments.

Minnesota Performance Evaluations

Better late than never.
sweatervest.gifsweatervest.gifsweatervest.gifsweatervest.gif

Boeckman and the Offense: 4 Sweatervests

Boeckman has finally proven that he can overthrow a receiver, which heretofore was unbelievable. Seeing the ball sail over everyone was actually a relief. He still has work to do, but it’s always been clear that the arm strength is there. Robiskie and Hartline both made circus TD catches (Roboskie’s being a triple flip off the trapeze, Hartline’s being a simple tuck and twist). Beanie Wells is still running over people like it’s his job and as Keith pointed out, Mo Wells is doing just fine. Everyone’s getting a piece of the action.

Chris “Beanie” Wells

This is becoming a familiar sight

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Minnesotans who are Buckeyes: 4.5 Sweatervests

There is only one Minnesotan who wears the Scarlet and Gray. I don’t have to tell you who he is, of course. But Lauranaitis is, quite emphatically, proving to everyone he very much deserved the awards and accolades he won last season. A lot of it was probably based on hype, but this year he has proven he is one of the premier linebackers in the country. (Rivals.com says he’s the best, actually.) He was all over the place in Minnesota, participating in 14 tackles. That’s a rock-solid performance.

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Ohioans who are Gophers: 1.5 Sweatervests

There are twelve Ohioans playing as Gophers. You probably wouldn’t recognize many of them (I know I didn’t) but they couldn’t stop talking about poor Ernie Wheelwright. He accounted for 53 yards, but he sure didn’t seem like he wanted the ball in his hands. There have been players from Ohio playing for other teams that played like they had something to prove (old what’s-his-name from South Carolina comes to mind) but EW sure didn’t.

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Special Teams: 2.5 Sweatervests

This is the area that makes me nervous. These are not Jim Tressel-like special teams. The punting game (when we actually punt) is fine, but the rest is not exactly instilling confidence. The kicking game is far from perfect: kick-off coverage is still spotty and the blocked PAT is almost unexcusable. Pretorius is still a good kicker with a good leg, but fundamentals seem to be a bit lacking. The fake punt was fun to see, but Trapasso was a little overanxious. The return game has the biggest upside, though, with Ray Small. He will explode in the next couple games.

Vernon Gholston’s Ghost: e^Sweatervest             esweatervest.gif

I noticed that Vernon Gholston played like a mere mortal against Minnesota (just 2 body crunching tackles), deciding that the Metrodome was not big enough to contain his aura. He’s only able to allow his power to run free in open-air stadiums. There’s no telling what would have happened if the real Vernon came to the Metrodome.

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Overall Perfomance: 4 Sweatervests

Baseline: 3 Sweatervests, +2 for acrobatic catches, +1 for allowing one touchdown, +1 for Beanie running over small, tasty defensive backs, -3 for a blocked PAT.

First place vote?

OSU FootballThat jarring, crashing, concussive rumble you heard over the weekend was nothing more than the construction work being done by the CFB voters as they wrenched all the teams in the top ten into new positions.

Quietly hidden in the cacophony, however, is a little nugget that has gone largely unnoticed:

osufirstplacevote.jpg

We all know the obvious question, here.

So who was it? Bielima? Brewster? Spurrier, perhaps motivated to atone for his boneheadedness last week?

I wonder if it was Ty Willingham. Washington played against OSU and USC just two weeks apart. Maybe his team’s near-upset and 24-point performance against USC convinced him that OSU was playing better ball, and motivated him to pull his vote from Carroll and give it to the Sweatervest. That wouldn’t explain where Cal and LSU fit into his rankings, however.

What do you think?