Purdue by the Numbers

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Purdue
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 208.4 (24) 123.5 (33) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 232.3 (52) 220.8 (73) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 155.2 (20) 126.2 (63) Pass Efficiency Defense Ohio State
Total Offense (ypg) 443.7 (25) 344.3 (41) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 39.6 (9) 20.3 (36) Scoring Defense (ppg) Ohio State
Rushing Defense (ypg) 93.1 (12) 202.3 (27) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 157.4 (7) 159.2 (104) Passing Offense (ypg) Ohio State++
Pass Efficiency Defense 98.3 (6) 159.2 (107) Pass Efficiency Offense Ohio State+++
Total Defense (ypg) 250.6 (6) 361.5 (72) Total Offense (ypg) Ohio State+
Scoring Defense (ppg) 16.0 (13) 22.5 (87) Scoring Offense (ppg) Ohio State+
Turnover margin 1.43 (4) 0.00 (62) Turnover margin Ohio State+
Penalty Yards/game 32.4 (12) 61.0 (90) Penalty Yards/game Ohio State++
Sacks (/game) 1.14 (95) 1.33 (31) Sacks Allowed (/game) Purdue+
Sacks Allowed (/game) 2.29 (85) 2.83 (21) Sacks (/game) Purdue+
3rd Down Conv. (%) 41.5 (49) 46.1 (101) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Ohio State+
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 31.8 (16) 38.9 (70) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Ohio State+
Redzone Offense (%) 92.1 (8) 76.2 (29) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 80.0 (53) 80.9 (75) Redzone Offense (%) Push
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
  Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Presented without comment.

As always, stats are grabbed from cfbstats.com.

2010 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #8 (Final)

A little late with this one, but these contain a couple tweaks from the comments of the draft.

Poll Dancing: Week Seven

(This is a guest series by MotSaG reader Jason Nafziger. He’ll be taking a weekly look at the college football polls and pointing out the absurd, the laughable and the head scratchers. Please note that Jason is not talking about the BlogPoll. Or my ballot to the BlogPoll.)

Now it’s time to get down to business. We are at the halfway point in the season and the initial BCS standings are out and they do not disappoint! By which I mean that they are awful, a mockery of justice and common sense.

1. Oklahoma

Despite sitting at #3 and #4 in the two human polls that make up a large portion of the standings, the Sooners find themselves poised to lose yet another BCS Championship Game. Their resume includes a convincing 30-point win over #17 Florida State, an 8-point victory against #19 Texas and several close calls against the likes of Utah State (7 points, USU is 2-4), Air Force (3 points, 5-2), and Cincinnati (2 points, 3-3). They face #11 Missouri this Saturday. At night. On the road. Can you feel it?

2. Oregon

The Ducks are an offensive machine, still keeping up an amazing pace of 0.9 points per minute. If they continue at this rate, they’ll waddle out of their bowl game with over 700 points. No, their defense is not great, and they haven’t played many impressive teams. Still, they are easily a top 5 team at this point. Unless you’re a BCS computer, that is. Only one number-cruncher has the Ducks ranked higher than #7.

3. Boise State

Boise State continues to coast on their “ impressive” wins over Virginia Tech (5-2) and Oregon State (3-3). Their last three opponents have a combined 6 wins so far this year, and there doesn’t appear to be a serious threat left on the schedule (although a loss at Nevada isn’t out of the question). The Broncos are going to need help to get to the title game, probably in the form of fewer than 2 undefeated BCS conference teams. Don’t count them out.

4. Auburn

The Tigers teamed up with Arkansas last week to steal all the points from all the other SEC games. The problem is, that shootout against a team that was missing its gunslinger for the majority of it is Auburn’s best win of the year. This team is highly suspect with 3-point wins against Mississippi State, Clemson (in OT), and Kentucky.

5. TCU

Another mid-major with a thin schedule, TCU rounds out the top 5 with just a 9-point win over Oregon State propping them up. The Frogs’ other 6 opponents have won an average of 3 games apiece, and that includes Tennessee Tech, a team that may not actually exist.

6. LSU
7. Michigan State
8. Alabama

Apparently, Nick Saban’s contract with the devil still applies even when he leaves a school.

9. Utah
10. Ohio State

I don’t like the look of that at all. Here’s hoping the Buckeyes rage against the rest of the Big Ten and storm back up the standings. There’s not a team above us that can’t be had.

The Breakdown (full Top 25): 24% SEC, 24% Big 12, 16% Big Ten, 12% Pac-10, 12% mid-major, 8% ACC, 4% Big East.

2010 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #8 (Draft)

Like it or not, I had to put my ballot together. Auburn takes my top spot because I think a 65 point explosion against a real team should count for something. The rest is up for debate. I decided to rank Rutgers out of respect for Eric LeGrand’s absolutely horrific injury..

Vent Thread

Well, that stunk. Kinda hard to get back into a game when you spot a team a 21-point lead, but that’s exactly what happened. SportsMonkey will be along with a game recap, but if you feel like venting, feel free in the comments.

Week #7 Open Thread (and Live Chat)

We’ll post the live chat later for the Wisconsin game, but since Gameday is in Madison today, I figured we’d get the open thread started early.

11:43 AM – That kid just said “poop” on Gameday. And they weren’t talking about JoePa!

Hit the jump for the Live Chat
[Read more…]

Wisconsin by the Numbers

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Wisconsin
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 217.3 (20) 108.2 (22) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 248.5 (37) 200.2 (54) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 165.7 (10) 135.1 (83) Pass Efficiency Defense Ohio State+
Total Offense (ypg) 465.8 (18) 308.3 (23) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 43.2 (6) 19.0 (32) Scoring Defense (ppg) Ohio State
Rushing Defense (ypg) 78.0 (4) 240.8 (11) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 158.3 (13) 209.3 (67) Passing Offense (ypg) Ohio State+
Pass Efficiency Defense 93.8 (3) 160.1 (16) Pass Efficiency Offense Push
Total Defense (ypg) 236.3 (3) 450.2 (24) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 13.5 (6) 37.2 (15) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Turnover margin 1.67 (3) 0.33 (39) Turnover margin Ohio State
Penalty Yards/game 41.3 (21) 30.8 (3) Penalty Yards/game Push
Sacks (/game) 1.33 (92) 0.83 (18) Sacks Allowed (/game) Wisconsin+
Sacks Allowed (/game) 2.17 (70) 2.00 (57) Sacks (/game) Push
3rd Down Conv. (%) 40.7 (53) 31.7 (17) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Wisconsin
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 30.0 (12) 52.2 (10) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 91.4 (12) 86.7 (87) Redzone Defense (%) Ohio State++
Redzone Defense (%) 75.0 (32) 87.9 (30) Redzone Offense (%) Push
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
  Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Presented with one comment. That sack statistic (1.33 sacks per game) bothers me, but Vico looked at “Where Have All the Sacks Gone?” and that made me feel a little better about it. A little

As always, stats are grabbed from cfbstats.com.

2010 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #7 (Final)

A little late, with a couple tweaks.

Poll Dancing: Week Six

(This is a guest series by MotSaG reader Jason Nafziger. He’ll be taking a weekly look at the college football polls and pointing out the absurd, the laughable and the head scratchers. Please note that Jason is not talking about the BlogPoll. Or my ballot to the BlogPoll.)

Yeah, that happened. The season has officially begun as the preseason #1 has been taken out, execution-style, by an afterthought of a team coached by a former legend who by all accounts would rather be golfing. Also officially beginning this week is the Harris Interactive Poll, the other poll that actually means something in the BCS formula and the one that insists its better to wait and see teams in action before judging where they stand. A noble and logical approach, to be sure, and one that certainly results in at least a couple major differences from the weekly preseason adjustment method the Coaches’ Poll uses, right?

Well…

Here is what waiting six weeks to make an “informed” decision gets you: Four variations between the two polls, each of which is merely a one-spot swap of two teams (Nebraska and TCU share the #4 and #5 slots, etc.) Hoo boy! Good thing you spent all that time collecting and poring over data, eh? I bet those coaches feel like a bunch of mountain rubes now!

1. Ohio State
2. Oregon
3. Boise State

Both polls agree on the top three and if they all win out, only Boise is in real danger of getting jumped, should Nebraska or Oklahoma also go unbeaten. Things are shaping up for another messy situation for the BCS, which probably means the exact opposite will happen. A rematch of last year’s Rose Bowl would make an interesting title game and I know you’re all starving for another helping of Boise/TCU.

4. Nebraska
5. TCU
6. Oklahoma

Two mid-majors ranked before a single SEC team? Goodbye, Tebow, indeed.

7. Auburn
8. Alabama
9. LSU

Oh good, there they are! I was getting worried! Do you ever get the feeling that the voters use SEC teams like masonry mortar?

10. Utah

For those of you keeping score at home, that’s 30% Mid-Major, 30% SEC, 20% Big 12, 20% Teams That Will Play For The Title and not a single ACC or Big East team in the Top 10 (Florida State wanders in at #17, West Virginia at #25).

Next Week: Actual BCS Standings! There is some concern over certain prognosticators’ claims that our Buckeyes would be around #5 in the BCS right now. I don’t buy it, and I’m pretty confident that if Ohio State pulls out the win this weekend, they will be the BCS #1 come Monday.

2010 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #7 (Draft)

This feels mostly good, but my gut feels tied in knots about ranking a one-loss team (at this point) over an undefeated team, but I just don’t know what to do with Alabama.

It also feels really weird ranking Michigan State that high. But where else would the be slotted? Below Bama and/or Utah?