We are down to just 6 major undefeated teams and 8 overall, with Texas Tech and Missouri bowing out last week. This week features one matchup of two unbeatens: ACC and in-state rivals Florida State and Miami. Aside from that, there is little action on the no-loss front, with most of the big teams taking the week off ahead of what should be an exciting weekend starting next Thursday.
But for this week, we’ll have to find other interesting games. For fun and definitely not for gambling, I’m including “Best Case/Worst Case” scenarios according to an experimental prediction model based on the Performance Against Expectation measure I introduced yesterday in The Spread. Note that “best” and “worst” are from the perspective of the favored team.
Ohio State @ Purdue. Yeah, going to West Lafayette makes me nervous too, but I think this Buckeye team is getting stronger every week, while the Boilermakers are… probably… such nice people. (BTN)
Best Case (OSU): Ohio State 57, Purdue 0. Worst Case: Ohio State 35, Purdue 16.
The World’s Largest Outdoor Emergency Room. SEC East rivals Florida and Georgia have been like twins this season. Both started out ranked in the Top 10, suffered numerous injuries en route to identical overall and SEC records (4-3 and 3-2), and are now unranked. Expect a close one, and maybe even overtime, if both teams have enough healthy players that is. (CBS)
Best Case (UGA): Georgia 27, Florida 14. Worst Case: Florida 24, Georgia 13.
Michigan @ Michigan State. This game is probably going to decide the Legends division. Michigan has not been good on the road under Brady Hoke, and Sparty has a stellar defense to go with their intermittent offense. (ABC)
Best Case (MSU): Michigan State 38, Michigan 13. Worst Case: Michigan 21, Michigan State 14.
Miami @ Florida State. Miami has had a couple of close calls lately, while Florida State has been rolling over opponents like some kind of giant rolling Native American thing. This one probably ends like you think it will: early. (ABC)
Best Case (FSU): Florida State 55, Miami 14. Worst Case: Florida State 24, Miami 21.