Archives for October 2011

Blogpoll Ballot, Week #9

SB Nation BlogPoll Top 25 College Football Rankings

Men of the Scarlet and Gray Ballot – Week 9

Rank Team Delta
1 LSU Tigers
2 Alabama Crimson Tide
3 Boise St. Broncos Arrow_up 3
4 Stanford Cardinal Arrow_up 3
5 Oklahoma St. Cowboys
6 Clemson Tigers Arrow_up 3
7 Arkansas Razorbacks Arrow_up 3
8 Oregon Ducks
9 Oklahoma Sooners Arrow_down -5
10 Michigan St. Spartans Arrow_up 3
11 Kansas St. Wildcats Arrow_up 3
12 Wisconsin Badgers Arrow_down -9
13 Nebraska Cornhuskers Arrow_down -1
14 South Carolina Gamecocks Arrow_up 1
15 Virginia Tech Hokies Arrow_down -4
16 Houston Cougars
17 Texas A&M Aggies Arrow_up 6
18 Texas Tech Red Raiders
19 Penn St. Nittany Lions Arrow_up 5
20 Cincinnati Bearcats
21 Michigan Wolverines Arrow_down -1
22 USC Trojans
23 Arizona St. Sun Devils
24 Texas Longhorns
25 Georgia Bulldogs
Dropouts: West Virginia Mountaineers, Illinois Fighting Illini, Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets, Auburn Tigers, TCU Horned Frogs

SB Nation BlogPoll College Football Top 25 Rankings »

JB’s Greatest Hits

Yakety Sax + Marcia Brady getting hit in the nose = Joe Bauserman in a nutshell.

H/T to the Buckeye Blog.

Poll Dancing: Week Seven, or Garbage In Garbage Out

The first official BCS standings of the year are out, which means it’s time to kick the hatred up a notch.  By pure coincidence I’m sure, this was also released this week.  (Are these guys seriously going to try to make us buy a slightly updated book every year?  When did EA open a publishing house?)

Instantly, the #4 ranking of Oklahoma State stands out.  The Cowboys are ranked #6 in both human polls, but are the top team in the computer average, winning four out of the six included models.  Since I know that the humans who program the computers (let’s stop pretending that these algorithms are magically untainted by bias) are not allowed to consider margin of victory, I have to assume that these numbers are almost entirely schedule-based.  Except that doesn’t explain it either.

LSU, ranked #1/2 in the human polls is #3 in the computers, behind Oklahoma State and Alabama.  LSU holds a 13-point victory over Oregon, a team that has won each of its other 5 games so far by no fewer (and usually quite a bit more) than 14.  LSU also claims the only win over West Virginia, a 26-point dismantling of the Mountaineers on the road.

Oklahoma State’s signature wins are a 1-point win over Texas A&M and a 12-point victory over Texas.  Each of those teams has two losses, as well as one win of five points or fewer.

Further, in the human polls, Oregon is ranked #8/9 and WVU is #14 while Texas A&M is #18/19 and Texas is not even ranked.  However, on the computer-assisted human side, Oregon is #12 (with a high of 7 and low of 18), WVU is #21 (18/25), Texas A&M is #18 (10/22) and Texas is #19 (11/UR).  And yes, the same poll that has A&M at 10 has Texas at 11.  That would be the Massey poll, which also includes such hilarious classics as “#5 LSU” and “#20 Stanford.”

And that’s just LSU.  The Cowboys are also ahead of Alabama, a soul-crushing machine that dismisses opponents like Andy Rooney dismisses poor people; Wisconsin and Stanford, who have been making cupcakey early schedules look even worse; and Oklahoma, who will fortunately be able to settle it on the field this December.  (Chancees are, they’ll settle it well: over the past 5 years, the Sooners have beaten the Cowboys by an average of 16 points.)

And then there’s Boise State.  Many will stop here and start soapboxing about the Broncos’ schedule.  And I get that, but with the exception of conference-mate Colorado State, every team that Boise has played is currently at least tied for the top spot in their own conference or division.  Considering the high risk/low reward prospect for big-name teams and the scheduling difficulty that presents for Boise, this is essentially the most they could possibly do in their current situation.  And yet, even if they run the table, which would include a win over TCU, they will still need the dreaded “help” to get a shot at the title.

The BCS system seems to have determined that this year’s championship will be the result of a contest between the Big 12 and the SEC (at least one of these conferences has appeared in 11 of the 13 BCS title games played).  The Big Ten takes a notable hit from the computer portion of the standings, with three Big 12 teams and three SEC teams checking in before #11 Wisconsin, the highest-rated Big Ten team.  Two more SEC teams appear before the second Big Ten entry.

This is not to say that these teams and conferences aren’t deserving, but the methods of selection at work here are inscrutable at best, and perhaps even suspect.  You all know I want a playoff.  This year still has the potential to end with seven undefeated teams, including the champions of five of the six AQ conferences.  One would hope that even three of those teams plus an unbeaten Boise would lead to enough disgust with the system to inspire schools to seek legitimate change.

Blogpoll Ballot, Week #8 (draft)

Ohio State vs. Illinois Recap

Three yards and a cloud of BOOM!

The Ohio State Buckeyes hunkered down and punched the Illinois defense in the face. Illinois took 51 shots to the face, gut and kidneys to a tune of 211 yards. Coming into the game Illinois had the 9th ranked rush defense in the country. It was a battle of wills and the Buckeyes won it. Herron had 114 yards rushing and a touchdown. Hall backed up Herron and added 56 of his own.

The backbreaking score came from Jake Stoneburner on a strike thrown by Braxton Miller. Miller only threw the ball 4 times, completing only one pass, but it was a big one. On 3rd and 5 Miller used playaction and hit Stoneburner in the middle of the end zone for a 17 yard touchdown.

The Ohio State defense, like the running game also came to play. Coming into the game Illinois used a balanced attack and scored an average of 34 points per game. After watching the OSU defense implode last week vs. Nebraska it was great to see them play a complete game against a potent offense. John Simon and Jonathon Hankins DOMINATED all day long and combined for 17 tackles, 6 tackles for loss and 2 sacks.

Ohio State held Illinois to under 300 yards of total offense. Coming into the game Illinois was averaging well over 400 yards per game. Illinois all world wide receiver was held scoreless and only muster 80 yards on 8 catches. Jenkins was also responsible for a drive stalling fumble. That fumble set up the Miller touchdown pass. Scheelhaase lead Illinois with 49 yards rushing, the rest of the ball carriers for Illinois were each held under 35 yards rushing.

Bradley Roby and Travis Howard had picks and Roby’s theft help set up Boom’s first touchdown this year. This was a much needed win vs. a rival on the road against a pretty good football team in Illinois. This should give Ohio State a much needed emotional boost going into their bye week in preparation for a primetime home game vs. hated Wisconsin.

Illinois Live Game Chat

Join us around 3:15 PM EDT for the live-in game chat where we’ll inevitably hurl four-letter words (not me, of course) at Jim Bollman, his Walrusball ineptitude and, if it comes to it, at B-deck Bauserman.

PLEASE don’t let it come to that.

Week Seven Open Thread

Previously, week seven would pretty much mean the season was more than half over. But, with the expansion of the BEE ONE GEE and the addition of a championship game, we can delay the half way point by just a little more.

So let’s get together and make fun of Michigan and Michigan State!

Update (1:15 PM) – So there’s a quarterback controversy brewing in Michigan? Can you really be a Heisman candidate if someone is taking over your position while you’re still on the field?

Update (2:48) – Why can’t Chris Spielman do every game I watch? I could listen to him all day long. I also love when he struggles to hide his contempt for anything Michigan.

Ohio State vs Illinois Preview

This is what the first half of the year has felt like for Ohio State players, coaches and fans:

Ohio State has been very average this year. There is no other way to put it. There is plenty of blame to go around. From interim head coach Luke Fickell to offensive guru (cough, cough) Jim Bollman to bright red ginger Joe Bauserman. For me the biggest reason for OSU’s struggles thus far has been this:

RB Jordan Hall
RB Boom Herron
WR Corey Brown
WR DeVier Posey
OL Mike Adams
OL Corey Linsley
OL Antonio Underwood
DL Chase Farris
DL Solomon Thomas
DL Nathan Williams
DL Melvin Fellows
LB Scott McVey
LB Conner Crowell
DB Corey Brown
DB Travis Howard
DB Donnie Evege
QB Terrelle Pryor
WR James Jackson
WR James Louis
LB Ejuan Price
LB Dorian Bell
LB Jonathan Newsome

That is 21 players that have been suspended, injured, transferred or booted off the team. That is a TON of talent not to have. The coaches have certainly had their issues and will most likely be replaced, but this year’s Ohio State football team simply put has a lack of talent…at least compared to most years. That is an average of 3.95 stars per player when they were being recruited, folks…that’s a lot of talent and a big reason why OSU is struggling.

Not only is this team lacking a huge amount of talent, it’s got to be mentally drained after going through the offseason from hell that has bled into the season with the continuing onslaught of off the field treats the OSU players continue handing out. It has also lost its legendary coach and is dealing with the everyday incompetence of an offensive coordinator who doesn’t seem to have a clue out there.

I have stolen this secret OSU offensive weapon from deep within the bowels of the interweb…this is what Bollman uses to call his plays:

However this week we will finally be able to watch Boom Herron run the “Dave” series as he makes his return after a 6 game suspension. Oddly enough it was his game last year vs. Illinois that catapulted Herron into being OSU’s work horse. Herron scored 16 TD’s last year and ran for over 1000 yards. Herron, Hyde and Hall will carry the offense with a wounded Braxton Miller likely to start. Reports have Miller getting all the action with the 1’s and apparently he is not limited physically. I can’t see Ohio State running Miller too often due to his injured ankle. We may see Miller use some play action off runs he has typically made this year and look for a couple shots deep.

Make no mistake…OSU will try to establish the run on Saturday. If not…there always this guy:

On to Illinois…

They have a pretty good squad this year. They are 6-0 for the first time in like 2000 years or something. Nathan Scheelhaus has been outstanding in his sophomore season and is running a spread option attack to the tune of 34 points per game. He runs and throws well and has a big-time playmaker at wide receiver in A.J. Jenkins who has 7 touchdowns already this year. Three backs split carries along with Scheelhaas to form an effective option attack. Something OSU struggled with vs. Nebraska in the 2nd half.

Defensively I expect Illinois to follow the MSU model of blitzing the hell out of OSU QB’s, whoever they may be. Nebraska didn’t really pressure OSU at all, especially in the 1st half and nearly got blown out of their own building. I don’t see Illinois following that model.

For me this comes down to two things: Will Braxton Miller play and will he be able to use is very gifted legs. I’d also love to see him throw a few more times than 8 through 3 quarters. If Miller can make a couple plays with his legs, a couple plays with his arm and stay healthy I think OSU can win this game. I also can’t wait to see what Boom Herron does. Will he be rusty or will he carry the load vs. Illinois 9th ranked rush defense?

Oh yeah…and they are playing for this thing:

Prediction:

Illinois: 30
OSU: 24

Until the coaching staff can show they have a full game in them, I don’t trust’em…and I don’t think the players are far behind me…

Dominick Clarke Suspended

It’s the October 14th edition of “OSU Suspension Friday!!”

Via BuckeyeExtra:

Backup cornerback Dominic Clarke won’t accompany Ohio State when it plays at Illinois after being charged with disorderly conduct for allegedly shooting a BB gun from the overhang of a dormitory restaurant on Sunday night.

“It’s in the university’s hands,” coach Luke Fickell said. “There’s not a whole lot we can talk about with it. It’s our decision — my decision — that we won’t have him on the trip with us.”

At this point the team is starting to resemble a clown car of endless suspensions…

Illinois By The Numbers


Statistically Speaking

Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Illinois
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 169.0 (48) 79.7 (9) Rushing Defense (ypg) Illinois
Passing Offense (ypg) 146.3 (111) 217.5 (57) Passing Defense (ypg) Illinois+
Pass Efficiency 121.2 (80) 117.5 (32) Pass Efficiency Defense Illinois
Total Offense (ypg) 315.3 (105) 297.2 (15) Total Defense (ypg) Illinois++
Scoring Offense (ppg) 28.0 (69) 17.8 (17) Scoring Defense (ppg) Illinois+
Rushing Defense (ypg) 116.7 (36) 226.2 (13) Rushing Offense (ypg) Ohio State
Passing Defense (ypg) 191.5 (22) 221.5 (68) Passing Offense (ypg) Ohio State
Pass Efficiency Defense 121.0 (40) 170.9 (8) Pass Efficiency Offense Illinois
Total Defense (ypg) 308.2 (22) 447.3 (32) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 17.8 (17) 32.5 (47) Scoring Offense (ppg) Ohio State
Turnover margin 0.50 (35) 0.00 (59) Turnover margin Push
Penalty Yards/game 48.2 (40) 36.5 (12) Penalty Yards/game Illinois
Sacks (/game) 2.00 (43) 2.83 (108) Sacks Allowed (/game) Ohio State+
Sacks Allowed (/game) 2.50 (100) 3.67 (1) Sacks (/game) Illinois++
3rd Down Conv. (%) 37.0 (88) 32.6 (23) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Illinois+
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 31.4 (13) 54.7 (7) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 84.2 (49) 75.0 (27) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 78.6 (44) 88.9 (27) Redzone Offense (%) Push
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
  Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Presented, always, without comment.

As always, stats are grabbed from cfbstats.com.