Gameday Open Thread and Live in-game Chat

OSU FootballI’m heading to the ‘Shoe here in a minute to see the game in person (yay for lame Alumni Tickets!) but am planning on watching the rest of the slate of games when I get back. I’ve got the in-game chat embedded after the jump.

Feel free to drop a note in the comments on any of the games today, or anything else that’s on your mind.

[Read more…]

Week #9: New Mexico State – Preview and Open Thread

OSU FootballI wonder what it’s like to be a football player at a school like New Mexico State. New Mexico isn’t exactly a hotbed of high school football (a good friend of mine told me some interesting stories of his days on his high school football in the middle-of-nowhere New Mexico. They were passionate but not necessarily talented). So you’re not exactly the cream of the crop. But at the same time, you are playing division 1A football and you are living the dream, whether you win or not. Still, it can’t be fun playing on a bad team gearing up to play one of the best programs in the country.

Lambs to the slaughter.

I used to scoff at ranking schools on an academic scale. I went to Ohio State to study electrical engineering and always laughed at the idea that someone’s education at, say, MIT, could be any better than what I was getting. I mean seriously, were they learning nuances of Ohm’s Law that we didn’t get? I’m pretty sure there wasn’t much left to interpretation. Same goes for pretty much everything else. Math and physics are pretty much set in stone. They weren’t operating under a different set of assumptions. The equations are the same on OSU graph paper as on MIT’s graph paper. But while Ohio State’s EE department was ranked in the top 30, MIT was consistently one or two. I didn’t get it.

Then, I went to my first academic conference where a lot of the presentations were done by MIT and then later I interviewed at Lincoln Labs at MIT it became clear what the difference was. It wasn’t one single thing, either. It was a combination of the people, the opportunities, but more than anything, it was the facilities. Some of the things we had in our labs were twenty year hand-me-downs while MIT had bleeding edge equipment. It was suddenly all very clear.

All that is to say that Ohio State is college football’s MIT. It’s on a different level. New Mexico State is not a very good team. They don’t have the facilities that Ohio State has at its disposal. They don’t have top athletes. Things come easy to OSU. New Mexico State has to fight for everything it has (which isn’t much).

So there’s no breakdown, no match-ups, no hidden strategies. This is a straight-forward game where Ohio State will dominate New Mexico State with extreme prejudice in every facet of the game. We’ve already looked at the statistics. This is a tune-up, a walk through. This isn’t even a scrimmage. This is a massacre.

Vegas is giving New Mexico State 44 points. I have no idea what to even propose for predictions. And since we’re gearing up for three intriguing games to close the season (with some really cool give-aways to boot) that for this week, we’ll just ask for your predictions for the final score. And how much time is left in the third quarter when Joe Bauserman plays.

el Kaiser’s predictions:
OSU: 42 NMSU: 0
Bauserman comes in at the 8-minute mark of the third quarter and leads two scoring drives.

sportsMonkey’s predictions:
OSU: 52 NMSU: 3
Defense plays well enough for a shutout but is likely to be betrayed again by the offense turning the ball over in their own red zone. Pryor will play through the 3rd, and perhaps even a series in the 4th if the Bucks have the ball at the start of the quarter. High points because I think the defense and/or special teams will score (or at least set up several scores on short drives).

New Mexico State, On Paper

Yes, Virginia, this could get ugly.

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
New Mexico State
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 172.0 (39) 186.6 (102) Rushing Defense (ypg) Ohio State+
Passing Offense (ypg) 181.3 (101) 182.9 (27) Passing Defense (ypg) New Mexico State+
Pass Efficiency 128.7 (63) 182.9 (58) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 353.3 (77) 369.5 (75) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 29.3 (42) 28.0 (88) Scoring Defense (ppg) Ohio State
Rushing Defense (ypg) 92.2 (10) 150.7 (56) Rushing Offense (ypg) Ohio State
Passing Defense (ypg) 192.5 (29) 103.9 (117) Passing Offense (ypg) Ohio State++
Pass Efficiency Defense 100.2 (15) 84.5 (120) Pass Efficiency Offense Ohio State+++
Total Defense (ypg) 284.8 (13) 254.6 (120) Total Offense (ypg) Ohio State+++
Scoring Defense (ppg) 13.1 (7) 13.3 (119) Scoring Offense (ppg) Ohio State+++
Turnover margin +0.75 (23) -1.0 (108) Turnover margin Ohio State++
Penalty Yards/game 40.1 (8) 53.4 (56) Penalty Yards/game Ohio State+
Sacks (/game) 3.13 (10) 1.75 (54) Sacks Allowed (/game) Ohio State
Sacks Allowed (/game) 1.75 (54) 1.63 (79) Sacks (/game) Ohio State
Redzone Offense (%) 71.9 (107) 89.3 (103) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 80.0 (53) 70.8 (109) Redzone Offense (%) Ohio State+
3rd Down Conv. (%) 40.0 (58) 41.8 (90) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Ohio State
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 34.2 (30) 34.7 (91) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Ohio State+
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push   Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

That 72% Red Zone conversion sticks in my craw something fierce. Other thoughts?

The Chosen One vs. The Blessed One

Some food (engineers and smart people like you can subsist for months on pure data) for thought:

Quarterback Comparison
Player
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Completion %
Tim Tebow 66.6 ypg (6 TDs) 166 ypg (8 TDs) 63.6%
Terrelle Pryor 58.9 ypg (5 TDs) 176 ypg (12 TDs) 55.4%

Well, that’s rather interesting, no? (via Lori Schmidt)

Tebow does lead the world in other statistical categories, like miracles wrought and leprosies healed.

For what that’s worth.

We’ve got a more detailed look at Pryor’s progression coming soon.

2009 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #8 (draft)

Rank Team Delta
1 Alabama
2 Florida
3 Texas
4 Iowa
5 Boise State
6 Cincinnati 1
7 TCU 1
8 Southern Cal 2
9 Oregon 1
10 Penn State 1
11 LSU
12 Georgia Tech
13 Oklahoma State 1
14 Pittsburgh 2
15 Ohio State 4
16 Houston 1
17 Miami (Florida) 4
18 West Virginia 5
19 Virginia Tech 1
20 Utah 4
21 Notre Dame
22 Arizona
23 Brigham Young 8
24 Mississippi
25 Connecticut
Last week’s ballot

Dropped Out: Idaho (#20), Oregon State (#21), Texas Tech (#22), Navy (#25).

I’m struggling with the top three right now. I still think Alabama has the best overall resume. Both Florida and ‘Bama struggled with Tennessee, but Florida hasn’t dominated this season the way Alabama has. ‘Bama roll over Arkansas, who should have upset Florida. And let us not forget Alabama’s over Virginia Tech. Which brings us to Texas. They had played nobody up until two weeks ago and they looked lukewarm up until that point. But their victory over Missouri was impressive. Right now, Texas looks like the best team, but the Big 12 as a conference is playing such terrible (and unexplainably weird) football that I think it detracts from what Texas has done thus far. So I’m sticking with my 1-2-3 of Alabama, Florida and Texas. Do you disagree? Please tell me why.

After that, I put Iowa over TCU and Donkey State because the Hawkeyes have a victory over a top ten team and play in a real conference, not a pretend one like the WAC or MWC. But I will give the two undefeated teams the nod over USC who has not played dominating football over anyone of note yet. (Cincinnati fits in there somehow, too).

After that, it gets harder to justify one over the other, but I’m comfortable with how I shook things out. Penn State and Oregon flip-flopped for some reason, which may have been a brain fart, but both teams had impressive wins, so consider them 9a and 9b.

UConn is #25 this week out of respect.

Progress

Minnesota Ohio St Football
2012 Heisman Hopeful?

One game does not cure what ails this football team, nor does it answer every question we had going into this week’s game. Minnesota’s defense was one of the more terrible defenses (on paper and on the field) in the Big Ten.

That qualifier being said, this was a pretty solid win. Miscues in the first half had most Buckeye fans still feeling like we were stuck in neutral, but the second half put those thoughts to rest. The offense looked fluid, we were moving the ball on the ground and through the air and Jermil Martin was a revelation. So yeah, the positives outweighed the negatives. 509 yards of offense and only giving up 286 yards on defense will do that for you.

We’ll have a more thorough look back at the game shortly (brought to you by the newest member of the MotSaG team) but for now, we’ll hope whatever ails Brandon Saine is short-lived and we’ll enjoy the victory.

Gameday Open Thread and Live in-game Chat

FootballFeel free to drop any thoughts you might have on this beautiful day for football. Hit the jump for the live in-game chat. I’ll be dropping in there from time to time. GO BUCKS!

[Read more…]

LOLBucks

I find your lack...

A million force chokes at CBSSports.com staff.

Minnesota, by the Numbers

This week in statistical match-ups. Maybe I should call this “On Paper.” As in, On Paper, there should be no way Ohio State loses.

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Minnesota
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 158.0 (48) 162.4 (87) Rushing Defense (ypg) Ohio State
Passing Offense (ypg) 173.0 (102) 228.3 (77) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 126.2 (69) 128.7 (69) Pass Efficiency Defense Push
Total Offense (ypg) 331.0 (91) 393.0 (92) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 28.0 (57) 23.3 (60) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 87.9 (9) 103.4 (105) Rushing Offense (ypg) Ohio State++
Passing Defense (ypg) 196.7 (37) 190.3 (88) Passing Offense (ypg) Ohio State+
Pass Efficiency Defense 100.6 (20) 116.1 (92) Pass Efficiency Offense Ohio State+
Total Defense (ypg) 284.6 (16) 293.7 (114) Total Offense (ypg) Ohio State++
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.0 (11) 23.1 (90) Scoring Offense (ppg) Ohio State++
Turnover margin +0.43 (46) -0.14 (67) Turnover margin Push
Penalty Yards/game 39.4 (7) 48.3 (33) Penalty Yards/game Push
Sacks (/game) 3.0 (6) 2.3 (91) Sacks Allowed (/game) Ohio State++
Sacks Allowed (/game) 1.86 (68) 1.71 (61) Sacks (/game) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 75.0 (98) 90.0 (97) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 78.6 (47) 84.6 (53) Redzone Offense (%) Push
3rd Down Conv. (%) 38.5 (69) 50.9 (115) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Ohio State+
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 36.4 (54) 37.5 (77) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Push
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push   Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Again, I present this with minimal commentary. The only thing I will mention today is that 75% scoring in the Red Zone is borderline inexcusable.

Buckeye Hoops in the Real World

basketball_iconTaking a break from the football season for a minute, let’s talk a little baloncesto. (That’s basketball if you didn’t already know). The NBA season is just around the corner. While I’m wondering how the Cavs are going to do this season, I’ve also been wondering what’s going on with all the former Buckeyes in the NBA. Luckily, the Buckeye Ballers Blog has us covered. A snippet:

It is Greg Oden’s world, and we are all just living in it. Well, maybe not yet. But if summer reports from Columbus & Las Vegas, as well as the recent reports from the Blazers training camp are any indication..Oden is going to quiet a lot of doubters this upcoming season. The big man is slimmer, more agile, light on his feet, and overall more comfortable on the floor.

Buckeye Ballers is also faithfully following ex-Buckeyes that are playing overseas, mostly in Europe. Another snippet:

29 Year old Brent Darby will play for Limoges CSP Elite of the France Pro B league this season. Like Penn & Johnson, Darby has also enjoyed a very solid european career. He played for Eldo Castera in Italy last season.