Week #6 Open Thread

Have at it. I’ll be AFK for most of the day, but I’ll be watching the game. GO BUCKS.

Indiana by the Numbers

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Indiana
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 234.8 (14) 207.0 (108) Rushing Defense (ypg) Ohio State++
Passing Offense (ypg) 228.6 (54) 190.3 (47) Passing Defense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency 159.3 (15) 140.7 (99) Pass Efficiency Defense Ohio State++
Total Offense (ypg) 463.4 (21) 397.3 (88) Total Defense (ypg) Ohio State+
Scoring Offense (ppg) 44.2 (8) 25.0 (72) Scoring Defense (ppg) Ohio State+
Rushing Defense (ypg) 79.8 (7) 106.8 (100) Rushing Offense (ypg) Ohio State++
Passing Defense (ypg) 161.8 (18) 348.3 (4) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 99.4 (11) 161.3 (14) Pass Efficiency Offense Push
Total Defense (ypg) 241.6 (4) 455.0 (24) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.2 (11) 39.8 (12) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Turnover margin +1.8 (5) 0.75 (27) Turnover margin Push
Penalty Yards/game 28.6 (3) 32.8 (6) Penalty Yards/game Push
Sacks (/game) 1.6 (78) 1.0 (21) Sacks Allowed (/game) Indiana+
Sacks Allowed (/game) 2.0 (60) 1.0 (106) Sacks (/game) Ohio State
3rd Down Conv. (%) 38.8 (73) 35.6 (42) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Indiana
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 28.8 (16) 54.7 (4) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 93.6 (10) 88.9 (91) Redzone Defense (%) Ohio State++
Redzone Defense (%) 70.0 (17) 83.3 (59) Redzone Offense (%) Ohio State
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
  Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Presented without comment.

As always, stats are grabbed from cfbstats.com.

Second Thoughts: Illinois

What a strange game that was.

This second look post is going to concentrate mostly on the offense but let me just state that the defense is mostly fine (the loss of Moeller SUCKS but with Nate Oliver’s return, I think we’ll be okay) and let me state the obvious and say Jonathan Hankins is going to be a manimal for years to come. He is a space eater and manhandles opposing linemen. It’s a joy to watch the boy play.

Also, something not many people seem to be talking about is how the wind affected the passing game. Why is that? Doesn’t fit the narrative? Anyway…

(Once I looked at my notes, this was a hot mess. Hopefully I can sum up the situations and that they’ll still make sense).

Let’s talk about the running game (and the offense in general).

I tried to concentrate a couple things watching the game a second time — line push, line assignments and backs finding the hole. During the first quarter, I thought the line was able to get movement up front and actually opened holes for both Saine and Herron which were both missed. This is going to be a common theme for Saine but Boom’s vision got better as the game progressed.

During the second drive of the second quarter, the line opens a HUGE hole that Saine hits but then stutter steps just before the line of scrimmage, right before contact that never actually comes and is subsequently tripped. It’s little things like this that have been plaguing Saine. The pass blocking was mostly okay but near the end of the half, Shugarts whiffs on 3rd and ten block that could have sprung Pryor for a decent run, possibly picking up the first instead of surrending a sack. This came after two missed passes (a poorly thrown ball to Sanz and a Posey drop) that set some bad joojoo in motion.

On the next possession, after the two drops and a sack on the preceding three plays, Pryor needed to calm down. Unfortunately, he tries to force a pass on the very next play into triple coverage and throws an INT. This is a coaching issue here. If there is one serious knock against Pryor, it’s that he presses too much and then makes boneheaded decisions like this. This fact is amplified on the very next possesion to close out the half. The possession starts out with a designed QB run that Pryor gets big yardage, setting up a TD. This comes about 3 minutes too late. When Pryor allowed to use his athleticism, it usually results in a big play and usually calms him down.

The second half was strange and kind of a blur. Losing Pryor was scary, but it was amazing how quickly Tressel went into turtle mode. It’s a credit to Herron that he was able to carry the load. As monkey pointed out, Herron carried the ball 19 times for 89 yards. 4.7 yards a carry is exactly what Tresslball calls for when a lead needs protecting and your superstar is unavailable.

I would have said the offensive line, on a scale of 1 to 5 played at about 3.5. The outside blitzing that Illinois did was troublesome, with both tackles missing pick-ups while helping inside on the defensive ends. This is easily correctable and when the tackles did recognize the blitz, they were mostly able to neutralize it. I’d also like to point out some more obviousness: Boren doesn’t miss blocks and he is really good at pushing people out of the way. I think I saw maybe one missed assignment by Boren.

So what to do about these running backs. Saine is not seeing any running lanes. He isn’t playing to his strengths. He had multiple times to beat defenders to the corners and inexplicably cut things back to the middle of the field. It’s almost as if he’s lost confidence. Boom is still playing like Boom and a 4+ yard per carry average is solid but it isn’t flashy. It is what fans want to see.

So what do you want to see? Who would you rather see in the backfield on Saturday?

[poll id=”6″]

2010 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #6 (Final)

Poll Dancing: Week Five, or “We’re Installing a 4-5-4 Defense”

(This is a guest series by MotSaG reader Jason Nafziger. He’ll be taking a weekly look at the college football polls and pointing out the absurd, the laughable and the head scratchers. Please note that Jason is not talking about the BlogPoll. Or my ballot to the BlogPoll.)Last week, I tried to summon up some drama in the polls by cheering for the underdogs in some of the big time battles on the slate. It almost worked…

1. Alabama
2. Ohio State

First, I attempted to dethrone the king, throwing my considerable influence (trust me, I was way under the influence) behind the Gators of Florida. If you’d ever wondered what it would look like if an elephant stomped on an alligator repeatedly for three hours (with a twenty minute break to pick pesky osteoderms out of the ridges on his soles), you got your answer Saturday night.

As for Ohio State, their win over Illinois was a little too close for comfort. With Oregon storming up the charts, Ohio State may need more than just wins to stay in the title hunt. Did I mention how much I hate the BCS?

3. Oregon
4. Boise State

These two swap places, and Boise’s dreams of finally crashing the title party are fading by the week. With no impressive opponents left, the Broncos should be able to run the table. Just like last year. I’m anticipating a similar outcome.

Oregon, meanwhile, thwarted my second upset try, overcoming a 21-3 first quarter deficit to shut Stanford out in the second half, bringing their own point total up to 283 for the season (that’s .94 per minute).

5. TCU
6. Nebraska
7. Oklahoma
8. Auburn
9. LSU
10. Utah

A little shakeup here, thanks to my final two upset spells. Michigan State offed Wisconsin and established themselves as a team the rest of Big Ten needs to start worrying about. And then, to bring my upset-sorcery record to an even .500, the newly hapful Vols of Tennessee pulled out a close one against LSU, taking advantage of some classic poor time management by Les Miles and—what? A penalty? They had HOW MANY guys on the field?!?

Anyway, let’s try this again:

Go Gamecocks!
Go Cougars!
Go Cyclones!
Go Spartans!

Next Week: The first Harris Poll of the year!!!! I know, but try to get some sleep.

2010 Blogpoll Ballot, Week #6 (Draft)

I feel mostly good about this. I struggled with ranking Ohio State and Oregon. I thought about flip-flopping the two after Oregon dismantled Stanford (man, how refreshing is it to watch Jim Harbaugh get thoroughly punked?). After comparing the two resumes, I still have to give the edge to Ohio State. The two marquee games for each school (Miami and Stanford) could be viewed as a “push”. The mere fact that Ohio State didn’t play a 1-AA school gives them the slight edge.

Auburn gets the big bump due to last week’s comments urging me to rank them higher and them looking very good five weeks into the season. Michigan State got a nice little bump for their victory over Wisconsin.

Also — have I been too harsh on Stanford and Florida? I deranked those teams with a certain amount of glee.

Comments, suggestions and rebukes in the comments section, please.

OSU vs. Illinois Live Chat (and Open Thread)

I am going to be busy pretty much all day today doing family-type things, so I probably won’t be able to participate in the live chat, but feel free to join your fellow Buckeye fans in there and feel free to use the comments here to post anything CFB related throughout the day. I’ll probably make it in here near around the Oregon/Stanford game.

Hit the jump for the Live Chat

[Read more…]

Non-conference Highlights

Ahead of the Illinois game, let’s bask in the light of some of the highlights from the four non-conference games. This video comes courtesy of MotSaG video guy, MannyCincy. It is, as the kids say, *tight.

*Do the kids still say that? I’m not really sure.

Illinois, by the numbers

Time for the Numbers! I love it. Your father loves it. Your Aunt Neda watches it every night in the VCR.

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Illinois
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 240.3 (14) 102.3 (25) Rushing Defense (ypg) Push
Passing Offense (ypg) 266.5 (29) 230.7 (77) Passing Defense (ypg) Ohio State
Pass Efficiency 167.0 (13) 128.9 (74) Pass Efficiency Defense Ohio State+
Total Offense (ypg) 506.8 (8) 333.0 (27) Total Defense (ypg) Push
Scoring Offense (ppg) 49.3 (3) 16.0 (27) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 870.0 (5) 229.0 (18) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 169.3 (26) 130.0 (112) Passing Offense (ypg) Ohio State++
Pass Efficiency Defense 100.1 (14) 130.0 (108) Pass Efficiency Offense Ohio State++
Total Defense (ypg) 239.3 (5) 359.0 (70) Total Offense (ypg) Ohio State+
Scoring Defense (ppg) 14.5 (19) 25.3 (70) Scoring Offense (ppg) Ohio State+
Turnover margin +2.5 (2) -1.0 (101) Turnover margin Ohio State++
Penalty Yards/game 29.3 (6) 61.3 (83) Penalty Yards/game Ohio State++
Sacks (/game) 1.25 (90) 1.67 (52) Sacks Allowed (/game) Illinois
Sacks Allowed (/game) 1.75 (58) 2.33 (43) Sacks (/game) Push
3rd Down Conv. (%) 40.0 (67) 39.1 (43) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Push
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 32.1 (31) 46.2 (30) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Push
Redzone Offense (%) 92.6 (18) 66.7 (18) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 57.1 (4) 100.0 (1) Redzone Offense (%) Push
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
  Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Presented without comment. Just for clarification: Illinois’ 100% red zone is based on NINE trips to the red zone. Ohio State has 18 touchdowns scored in the red zone.

As always, stats are grabbed from cfbstats.com.

Poll Dancing: Week Four or, “Wake Me Up When September Ends”

(This is a guest series by MotSaG reader Jason Nafziger. He’ll be taking a weekly look at the college football polls and pointing out the absurd, the laughable and the head scratchers. Please note that Jason is not talking about the BlogPoll. Or my ballot to the BlogPoll.)

1. Alabama
2. Ohio State

Bama had a bit of a close call against Arkansas, while Ohio State had a call more comparable to deep space communication. Still and all, the top two remain unbeaten and on the path to meet for the title in January. Florida will try to make things interesting this weekend. Want something interesting until then? A group of elephants is known as a “memory,” while a group of alligators is a “congregation.”

3. Boise State
4. Oregon

Ah, finally. UCLA’s castration of the Longhorns sends Texas plummeting, and the Ducks quickly flew in to replace them. A group of ducks is a “flush.”

5. TCU
6. Nebraska

Despite a poor showing against South Dakota State’s “husk” of jackrabbits, the Cornhuskers get a bump up and become the highest ranked Big 12 team during Red River Shootout (and I still say IAA too) week.

7. Florida
8. Oklahoma
9. Wisconsin
10. LSU

And again, every team that didn’t lose is shifted up a spot to accommodate for those that did. I used to suspect that the coaches’ employed graduate assistants to fill out their ballots for them, but now I’m convinced it’s Price Is Right game designers.

So, in the interest of someone who writes (and the imaginary folk who read) a weekly piece about poll fluctuation, let me just say:

Go Gators!
Go Cardinal!
Go Spartans!
Go Vols!

Also, a group of cats can be called a nuisance, a destruction, a litter, a kindle, or a dout. Some collective noun coiner really hated cats.