Just following up el Kaiser’s analysis with a few thoughts of my own.

I know I might not speak for all of us here at MotSaG, but if you’ve gotta lose…

…you want to lose like that.

To a better team.

To a team that played above its own capability, a team that played as a single unit, a team that played clean football, and a team that executed a near-perfect game plan.

You don’t want your team to lose because of some gimmicky trick plays, you don’t want them to lose because the officials stole the game, you don’t want them to lose to a dirty team, and on and on and on.

I know it might be hard for Buckeye nation to accept, but the fact is that OSU’s defense gave up 80 points in the last 8 quarters of the season. Clearly, the young, inexperienced defense, that had performed above expectations through most of the season, began to get worn down after 13 games. Something in OSU’s films proved useful to Carr and Meyer.

Offensively, we have to admit this hard fact: Tressel got outcoached. When the time came for offensive adjustments, he refused, even panicked; after the most dangerous weapon on his team was sidelined. Once Ginn went out, Meyer doubled Gonzo and ordered a zone blitz on every play, and the OSU coaches did not adjust with a single quick toss, reverse, draw, screen play, or anything else that is designed to work against the defenses that Urban was using. Tressel, et. al. stuck with the seven-step zone read, until it was too late to try anything else, and Smith paid the price.

And can someone please take Alex Boone out to the Gitmo barracks and give him a code red?

But I’m starting to dive into analysis, here; and that it was I wanted to avoid.

Simply enough: Florida was better, the BCS worked again, and as soon as the disappointment wears off, I’m sure this OSU team will still be remembered as something to be quite proud of.

Congrats to the Gators. Congrats to Urban Meyer, who is no doubt the primary candidate for the OSU coaching job if Tressel goes to the Browns (not that I’m starting any rumors or anything!).

So comes to a close the Tressel and Smith era; just as the Matta and Oden era begins. Ah, the life of a Buckeye fan!! Still better than rooting for anyone else.

Today, the MotSaG team was honored to provide an article for the game-day edition of CSTV’s Battle of the Blogs.

We were a little nervous about the question we drew, not only because our fellow – OSU – blogging – brethren have set the bar high this week, but also because our topic is a pretty hard one to argue.

The debate topic we received:

This was a pretty hard thing to argue. Who really knows? In the end, we decided to wimp out and have a pair of legendary SEC and Big Ten icons argue it out for us.

Check out the transcript of their conversation after the jump.

[Read more…]

This should help you get excited for Monday. What happened the last time Tressel went to AZ for a championship?

This:

Announcers are Paul Keels and Jim Lachey.

H/T to (who else?!?): Jeff

If you haven’t heard, Florida is supposed to win on Monday.

Have you got that yet? Flip on a BCS (or any other bowl) game during halftime, or visit internet articles and forums, and you’ll hear prognosticators running through the same drill:

• Florida will win because OSU can’t handle the Gators’ speed
• Florida will win because they are the equivalent of the underdog 2002 OSU Buckeyes squad
• Florida will win because of the superiority of the SEC
• Florida will win because Heisman winners rarely perform well in bowl games
• Florida will win because it has the best defense that OSU has ever seen
• Florida will win because OSU had 51 days off
• Florida will win because everyone is assuming OSU will win

Wait, what?!? So… the media wants it both ways? They all want to pick Florida to win, but justify it by saying that there’s an “assumption” that OSU will dominate the Gators? Oxymoronic, if you ask me.

Let’s do the rundown.

Speed
…is present in both teams. Florida has some turf burners, that’s for sure. But OSU’s known for its uncanny speed, too; for example, the combined speed of G², both of which are on the field at the same time. Running a 4.3 is running a 4.3, whether you’re from Cleveland or Florida.

Underdog status
…doesn’t exist here for either team. This game is not a mirror image of the 2002 championship game, mostly because 2006 OSU isn’t anywhere near as dominant, overconfident, and cocky as the 2002 Hurricanes were. That game truly was David vs. Goliath. Coker’s boys trickled into Arizona, having won about three dozen straight games, with a very laissez faire attitude, guaranteeing victory and mocking the pitiful Buckeyes. No way Tressel allows his players to think or behave that way. Trust us: it’s been all business for six weeks straight. Also, the Buckeyes entered that game 13-0; while Florida has a loss.

And this year, Florida is a powerhouse; no question about it. Both teams match up against one another very, very well. Specifically, both teams happen to be strong in areas in which the other is weak. This indicates that the game might be a high-scoring affair. For instance, OSU’s defense has had difficulty with mobile quarterbacks and the spread option this year.

There are absolutely no similarities between these teams and the teams from the 2002 game, no matter how much some Gator fans want to play the underdog role.

SEC is better!!
Nope. Where did this argument come from, anyway? From a bunch of ten-year-old boys on a schoolbus? The best teams of the major conferences are always pretty similar in strength. Parity is too widespread nowadays, and most big programs use similar practicing and conditioning techniques.

At any rate, the SEC is 0-3 against Big 10 this season. The Big 10’s #3 & #4 beat the SEC’s #3 & #4 in last week’s bowl games. Head to head, that’s pretty telling, but I still maintain that you can’t use the “conference is better than yours” argument to predict victory or defeat. Not when you give two great teams a month to get ready for each other.

Heisman winners underachieve in bowl games
The logic goes like this: Because the Heisman winner is running around to awards ceremonies, staying in hotels while his teammates practice without him, the team’s performance suffers. Maybe so, but as was reported earlier this week (no link yet), Smith has only missed one day of practice. And there’s no way Tressel would keep Smith off the practice field; it’s the only way his first team defense can get ready for Leak & Tebow.

OSU hasn’t seen a defense like Florida’s
Now we can get into some real analysis.

OSU’s offense has played against the following great defenses:

Michigan (1st in rushing defense, 8th in scoring, 9th against first downs), Texas (2nd against the rush, 16th against first downs), and Penn State (10th against the rush, 11th in scoring).

Against those three teams, OSU racked up 1,104 yards of offense and 11 touchdowns. And this includes its worst-of-the-year performance against Penn State during a heavy downpour that slowed both offenses. Including that game, OSU’s offense averaged 368 yards in those contests; without it, 425 yards. Florida’s defense (statistically) matches up relatively close to these three teams.

Let’s also consider individual talent. OSU’s offense has played against the following defensive superstars:

All three finalists of the Bednarik Award (Posluszny, Connor, Woodley); two finalists of the Jim Thorpe Award (Leon Hall, Aaron Ross); one finalist of the Butkus Award (Posluszny); three finalists of the Lombardi Award (Posluszny, Woodley, Blalock); and one finalist of the Nagurski Trophy (Hall).

After Monday’s game, OSU will add Reggie Nelson to that list. And this doesn’t count the finalists/winners on OSU’s team (Pitcock, Laurinaitis, Smith, et. al) that the OSU offense practices against every day.

Ohio State had a crippling 51-day layoff
This argument might have a smidge of meat to it. However, I’m not thinking that any “rust” OSU might have come Monday is going to be enough to ensure a Florida victory, for two reasons:

(1) Tressel. He has repeatedly shown time and time again an ability to get a team ready for a big game. OSU teams are never over- or under-prepared. It’s enough of a track record to have confidence, at any rate. Besides, earlier this year there was a nine-month layoff between the Notre Dame and Northern Illinois games, and the OSU offense picked right up where it left off in January.

(2) When people speak of “rust,” they actually mean “timing,” which is more important in the rushing game than the passing. Expect Tressel, like he has all season long, to use the pass to set up the rush.

Final Thoughts
The OSU squad, full of veterans, is not as likely to be nervous or intimidated at the colossal hype & emotion of the game. This is the third #1 vs. #2 game OSU has been in this year alone.

Florida has an impressive defense, but it will not stop OSU from putting up a significant amount of points on the board. Reggie Nelson cannot cover Ginn, Gonzo, Hall, Robiskie, Hartline, Small, Pittman, Wells, Nichol, and Ballard, seven or eight of which are on the field for every play. (And that doesn’t count Troy Smith’s own feet, either). OSU will score some points.

The “unknown” of the game is how well Florida’s offense and OSU’s defense match up. Turnovers will be a huge factor… and I think the game’s outcome could hinge on them. Florida is 78th overall in throwing interceptions, and OSU is tied for second in the nation for most interceptions gained.

Therefore, whether or not the Gators earn a second national title will totally depend on whether or not Chris Leak and Tim Tebow can (1) avoid mistakes and (2) outscore Troy Smith and his countless offensive weapons. Period.

Enough for now! We’ll be doing our predictions on Monday’s Open Thread, so check back then. In the meantime, you might find it interesting to peruse Vegas’ considerations on the teams’ trends going into the game.

Spaghettigate looks to be drawing to a close.

The Cleveland Plain Dealer is reporting the NCAA’s Bob Williams said, “If it’s determined that money did not go to either family, then one would deduce that there was no extra benefit.”

Therefore, since the money from the fund raiser went to a nonprofit Pee Wee football league, it appears Beanie and Pittman are in the clear.

This has been a silly, frivolous waste of time. Two families living close to (or below) the poverty line have a one in a million shot to see their sons play for a national championship, so their friends and neighbors gather together to help find a way to help them afford the trip. Next thing you know, someone finds an obscure passage in the telephone-book sized NCAA rulebook that forbids it, so the players have to leave and the families have to give the money away.

This is exactly the type of thing that the NCAA should allow. A community helping its members is a pretty noble thing. This type of heavy-handedness is exactly why collegiate boosters have so much power & temptation over star players. “C’mon, take it. You know the NCAA won’t allow your family to raise money to come see you play.”

All this has done is give the media another chance to throw darts at OSU and give UM fans something else minor to add to their “zOMG teh OSU iz criminalz one!!11eleventyone!” lists.

I’d also bet that this situation has hardened Pittman’s stance on returning for another year. Would you come back to deal with this kind of hilarity, if you had an opportunity to be free from it?

UPDATE:
OSU’s investigation is complete; they’ve declared that no wrongdoing occurred.

Bad news for Buckeye fans… starting cornerback Antonio Smith has been seen wearing an arm sling.

No details as of yet. It’s a good thing the title game is 17 days away.

Link