Since the last installment, we’ve been (almost) given the gift of a four-team playoff postseason to begin in a couple of years. Â Since that still-not-entirely-final announcement, the discussion has mostly shifted to how the four teams should be chosen, a question that–despite sanctimonious column after sanctimonious column to the contrary–has no right answer. Â Everyone has a good point in this argument, and whatever is decided will still result in at least some amount of controversy. Â But it will be a slightly better brand of controversy than what we have now, and that’s a good start.
But perhaps doing more to end that controversy would be the long-theorized and even longer-overdue secession of the top conferences from the NCAA. Â This move–or at the very least, the creation of a new division within the current structure–would finally acknowledge the obvious: Utah State, Tulane and Buffalo are not on the same level as USC, LSU and Ohio State.
With the most recent realignment moves, the so-called “Big Six” conferences will house 78 programs by 2015 when Navy begins play in the Big East. Â The remaining 42 (not counting a handful of announced FCS upgrades) belong to the mid-majors. Â Of those 42, exactly zero are in the top 25 in winning percentage for the past ten years (www.stassen.com). Â Every mid-major that would have been in that category has already been snatched up by a Big Sixer (Boise State, TCU, Utah) or opted for independence (BYU), which essentially gives them the same competitive benefits that Notre Dame enjoys. Â Just one has appeared in a BCS bowl and that’s Hawai’i, the remaining mid-major with the highest winning percentage in the last decade.
To put it bluntly, they wouldn’t be missed.
Further, I would suggest tossing the Big East into that pool as well. Â Of the bottom 15 teams from Big Six leagues on that 10-year list, four are Big East teams (all new additions even). Â Each of the other conferences has two, and Army is the lone independent to rank that low. Â If the separation were to finally occur, I have no doubt that Boise, Louisville, Cincy, Navy, USF, Houston, UConn and Rutgers could find homes in the Big Five or be successful as independents. Â But ultimately, as long as Boise and Navy can, the rest are expendable.
From here we can finally get to a playoff that works, without getting too out of hand for you crybabies that don’t want a two-month 64-team extravaganza of football awesomeness. Â With five conferences of sizes that will probably range from 12 to 16 teams and a few independents, a four-team playoff gets a little awkward. Â You’re either leaving one conference champ out entirely or subjecting the whole thing to another goofy mishmash of polls and computer formulas. Â Neither of those options will be acceptable at this point. Â The only realistic answers are either an 8-team playoff (5 champs + 3 at-large) or a 5 team all-champs playoff where some seeding system (even if it’s just W/L record) is used so that #4 and #5 play a sort-of play-in game to the four team field. Â (This second method is still a little clunky, as there would need to be some sort of accommodation for independents, perhaps an optional second “play-in” if an independent team meets inclusion criteria.)
And let’s not forget the advantages the separation would give to those mid-major conferences left behind. Â I imagine there would be further expansion within that level by elevating even more successful FCS programs. Â Undoubtedly there would be a new playoff created for whatever this level is eventually called (FCS-A?). Â Finally these teams will be able to start working toward actually winning national championships instead of being satisfied with shameless early-season cash-in beatdown road trips and appearances in no-respect joke bowls with marginal-at-best benefits.







