Archives for January 2015

Buckeyes Land A Big Time Recruit

I know what you are thinking today is kind of a big day for Ohio State as they prepare to play for the National Championship tonight. How could today get any better? Well The Buckeyes just landed one of the top players in the country for the 2017 class.

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Shaun Wade is a 6’3″ 175 lbs 4 star Cornerback from Jacksonville, Florida. Shaun checks in as the 14th best recruit in the country and the #3 player in Florida and #2 CB in the nation. Shaun is a pure athlete who thrives not only on the field but on the court as well. He is young just finished his Freshman year of HS but already has a major name and will continue to grow. This is a huge pick up for the Buckeyes and hopefully just the icing on the cake for today.

Head Coach match-up: Urban Meyer & Mark Helfrich

As we inch closer and closer to the inaugural College Football Playoff National Championship in Arlington, Texas on Monday, January 12th, all the talk is about the players and their match-ups on the field. Rightfully so, the players are the ones that will decide the outcome on Monday night at AT&T Stadium. With that being said, Urban Meyer and Mark Helfrich are the architects of both of these great football teams. Both have reached this point in different ways, but they’ve both done it with one thing in common – it’s been on their terms.

Both Meyer and Helfrich are coaching at their home state’s premier institutions. Meyer was born in Toledo, Ohio and Helfrich was born in Coos Bay, Oregon. They both played college football in their home state as well. Meyer played at Cincinnati and Helfrich at Southern Oregon. Both guys understand what it means to their home states when their programs are at the pinnacle of college football. Ohio State is one of the true blue bloods of college football with a rich tradition and 7 national championships to its credit. Oregon is a newcomer to the elite scene of college football. They’ve been building to this moment for the past few decades and appeared in their only national championship a few years ago when they were defeated by Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton and the Auburn Tigers.

While Oregon is the favorite to win the game according to Vegas (-6 as of Saturday morning), the coaching match-up advantage has to go to Urban Meyer and the Buckeyes. That’s not to diminish Helfrich’s ability, but Meyer has won 2 National Championships (Florida – 2006, 2008), and has a career record of 141 – 26 (.844) including a 37 – 3 (.925) mark at Ohio State and an 8 – 2 (.800) record in bowl games including Ohio State’s 42-35 victory over Alabama in this year’s Sugar Bowl. Helfrich is less experienced, as he’s only in his second season as a head coach at any level. He’s proving he belongs at this level though with a record of 24 – 3 with a 2 – 0 bowl record including his dominating victory over defending champion Florida State Seminoles in the Rose Bowl.

Both guys are also known as offensive head coaches. Both run spread attacks and love getting their athletes out in space in one-on-one opportunities. Don’t be fooled though, both understand the importance of running the ball and what it means for their offenses long term success. Royce Freeman leads Oregon in rushing with 1,343 yards and 18 TD’s while Ezekiel Elliott leads Ohio State in rushing with 1,632 yards and 14 TD’s. Both offenses average over 500 yards per game and 7 yards per play. So it’ll be interesting to see if either defense can slow down the opposing offense at all. Whether it be with turnovers or excellent execution.

Another interesting side note is the familiarity between Urban Meyer and the Oregon program. During Meyer’s year off working for ESPN, he went out to Eugene 2 or 3 times to study the program and hang out with then Head Coach Chip Kelly. Over his tenure at Ohio State, Meyer has mentioned Oregon and how they go about their business. It’s not just about scheme and X’s and O’s, but he mentions how Oregon’s whole program is “aligned” from players to coaches to administration staff and even the student body. Without a doubt, both programs and head coaches’ respect one another. Both are class acts and represent their programs and home states with dignity and class. The first ever College Football Playoff National Championship should be one to remember. Helfrich hopes to bring home Oregon’s first ever national championship in this new era of college football while Meyer hopes to bring home his third and Ohio State’s 8th. Guess we’ll have to wait until Monday night – which by the way can’t get here soon enough.

College Football Playoff National Championship – Ohio State vs. Oregon

Monday, January 12th, 8:30pm EST

AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

Bucks and Ducks the Position Comparison

I guess we can make this position comparison breakdown really simple. Listening to the national media Oregon rocks and Ohio State is just lucky they got there. I have stopped listening to all their garbage especially when I hear many say Oregon has a better defense than Ohio State. When you sit down and break down all the statistics and the opponents each play you come out with one common denominator, Oregon and Ohio State match up very evenly and even the Buckeyes have an edge in many areas. As Tony has shown in his By the Numbers post you can see where the Buckeyes hold an edge. Without further ado lets break this down as best as we can shall we.

Quarterbacks

Ohio State has Cardale Jones who has played in 9 games this season but only 2 of them as the starter. The Big Ten Championship and the Sugar Bowl where he helped propel his team to wins in both and the biggest games of the season to date. Going 30 of 52 (58 percent) on his passing attempts and throwing for 500 yards and 4 TD’s with only 1 INT isn’t to shabby for a back-up on such a huge stage. Yes I said back-up because I refuse to call Jones a third string quarterback since he came into fall camp second on depth chart. When Braxton Miller went down J.T. Barrett jumped him to be the starter leaving him as the second string (see what I did there).

Oregon has some guy named Marcus Mariota. He has collected some massive hardware for his play this season and deservedly so. Winner of the Davey O’Brien, Maxwell, and Walter Camp Awards along with some minor trophy called the Heisman. No need to break down this guys stats right.

Advantage: Oregon

Rushing

I could break this down to just running backs but lets face it both the Bucks and Ducks have rushing quarterbacks so they have to figure into the equation right.

Ohio State is lead by the workhorse of Ezekiel Elliott who only has rushed for 1632 yards this season and became the very first back to gash Nick Saban’s Tide for over 200 yards in the Sugar Bowl. Cardale Jones averages 5 yards a carry which seriously is it fair all he has to do is fall forward to gain that because the kid is so tall and strong? The Buckeyes have a stable of other backs like Curtis Samuel who is averaging 6.6 yards a carry, Jalin Marshall (6.2 ypg), and a fresh leg kid named Dontre Wilson (5.6 ypg)

Oregon also has a sable of running backs and they primarily use a two headed monster of Royce Freeman (5.5 ypg) and Thomas Tyler (5.1 ypg). Both have rushed for 1343 and 511 yards respectfully. That award winning quarterback guy I mentioned earlier he only averages a measly 5.8 ypg. The Ducks will be without one of their running backs due to suspension Ayele Ford which isn’t a huge lose since he only has 3 carries for the year.

Advantage: Ohio State (Zeke’s shoes are on fire)

Offensive Line

I’m not going to break this down with all the names of the lineman or stats of sacks given up, penalties and all that.

Ohio State has had a remarkable turnaround from the beginning of the season with only one returning starter on that line. Credit co-offensive coordinator Ed Warinner and the players for buying in and working extremely and become a very good unit.

Oregon has probably one of the best if not the best offensive lines in the country. Having had to deal with injuries all season and it might have actually cost them a game with key lineman out against their first match up against Arizona.

Advantage: Oregon (Buckeyes pulling very close though)

Receivers

This has to be the best receiver corp in recent memory for the Buckeyes. Lead by Devon “Big Play” Smith (27.7 ypg) and Michael Thomas (14.9 ypg). Then you have the “H” back players in Marshall (13.5 ypg) and Wilson (14.3 ypg) and lets not discount the tight ends that in my opinion aren’t used enough Nick Vannett (12.4 ypg) and Jeff Heuerman (12.2 ypg). You can’t count out Corey Smith (9.9 ypg) who is actually a stud on special teams and Evan “I can do everything” Spencer (9.9 ypg). The other intangible that the Buckeyes have with their wide receiver corp is their ability to block on the outside and hold their blocks without holding.

Oregon has some great weapons for wide receivers unfortunately they will be without 3 of their top 6 pass catches. Darren Carrington, Devon Allen, and Pharaoh Brown will all miss the championship game. They still have Bryon Marshall (12.6 ypg), Dwayne Stanford (14.8 yp), and Keanon Lowe (14.4 ypg). Now the Ducks will find out who the next man up is for their receiver corp and since Mariota likes to spread the ball around the field it will have to be the next men up.

Advantage: Ohio State (only because of recent developments)

Total Offense

Oregon has scored 47.2 points per game against defenses averaging around a 80 rank nationally.

Ohio State has scored 45 points per game against defenses averaging around a 52 rank nationally.

Advantage: Ohio State

Defense

Ohio State rushing defense is better than Oregon. They have faced 3 top 10 offensive rushing teams this season.

Oregon passing defense is better than Ohio State. They have faced 2 top 10 offensive passing teams this season.

Even though currently the Buckeyes are ranked 16th nationally against the pass the best passing team they faced was Cincinnati, Michigan State, Alabama, and Illinois. All the other teams the Buckeyes faced offensively passing wise were ranked 61 (Kent State) and worse.

Oregon faced some serious competition from offensively passing teams. Washington, Wyoming, Stanford and Utah are all below 66 rank. Their 103 national ranking was against really good teams all season.

Oregon has given up 22.5 points per game to offenses averaging around a 42 rank nationally.

Ohio State has given up 21.43 points per game to offenses averaging around a 70 rank nationally.

See you can spin stats anyway you would like but bottom line Ohio State is ranked 17th nationally defensively and Oregon is ranked 83

Advantage: Push (you can sway the argument either way plus Oregon lost CB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu)

Random Stuff

OSU has the 2nd best offense Oregon will face
OSU has the 3rd best defense Oregon will face
OSU has the best rushing attack Ducks will face

Oregon will be the best offense Buckeyes will face
Oregon has the best passing attack Buckeyes will face
Oregon has the 4th best rushing attack Buckeyes will face

OSU is 289-1-1 when scoring 35+ points (lost in Orange bowl last season)
20-0 when having a 200+ yard rusher
22-0 when Devin Smith catches a TD

Don’t forget to read Ronnie’s preview on the game.

We are Bradley Roby Days Away

courtesy of buckeyeplanet.com

Can’t blame him for leaving since he is still playing in the playoffs, but you ask yourself what if.

By The Numbers: Oregon

As always, presented without comment.

Statistically Speaking
Ohio State
Value (Rank)
Value (Rank)
Oregon
Advantage
Rushing Offense (ypg) 262.2 (10) 156.1 (51) Rushing Defense (ypg) Ohio State
Passing Offense (ypg) 247.5 (52) 265.9 (111) Passing Defense (ypg) Ohio State+
Pass Efficiency 168.0 (2) 123.6 (52) Pass Efficiency Defense Ohio State+
Total Offense (ypg) 509.7 (9) 421.9 (86) Total Defense (ypg) Ohio State++
Scoring Offense (ppg) 45.0 (5) 22.3 (27) Scoring Defense (ppg) Push
Rushing Defense (ypg) 142.0 (34) 241.9 (18) Rushing Offense (ypg) Push
Passing Defense (ypg) 191.6 (16) 311.0 (11) Passing Offense (ypg) Push
Pass Efficiency Defense 104.8 (4) 183.6 (7) Pass Efficiency Offense Push
Total Defense (ypg) 333.6 (17) 552.9 (3) Total Offense (ypg) Push
Scoring Defense (ppg) 22.1 (26) 47.2 (2) Scoring Offense (ppg) Push
Turnover margin +0.71 (17) +1.43 (2) Turnover margin Push
Penalty Yards/game 48.6 (47) 72.8 (119) Penalty Yards/game Ohio State++
Sacks (/game) 3.07 (12) 2.07 (67) Sacks Allowed (/game) Ohio State+
Sacks Allowed (/game) 1.93 (56) 2.57 (33) Sacks (/game) Push
3rd Down Conv. (%) 51.9 (3) 41.1 (83) 3rd Down Conv. Def (%) Ohio State++
3rd Down Conv. Def (%) 35.0 (21) 51.6 (5) 3rd Down Conv. (%) Push
4th Down Conv. (%) 52.6 (53) 44.4 (39) 4th Down Conv. Def (%) Push
4th Down Conv. Def (%) 58.8 (86) 65.4 (17) 4th Down Conv. (%) Oregon+
Redzone Offense (%) 84.1 (54) 83.3 (68) Redzone Defense (%) Push
Redzone Defense (%) 85.4 (87) 86.8 (40) Redzone Offense (%) Oregon
 Legend
  Difference <25 in National Rank = Push
  Difference >25 in National Rank = Ohio State
  Difference >50 in National Rank = Ohio State+
  Difference >75 in National Rank = Ohio State++
  Differences >100 in National Rank = Ohio State+++

Stats are grabbed from cfbstats.com

We are Dontre Wilson Days Away

courtesy of The Columbus Dispatch

How fitting is it that we are 2 Days away from the National Championship Game and Dontre changed his number to #2? Not sure if anyone remembers Urban flipped Wilson from Oregon to the good guys and right now he is probable to play Monday night. Sometimes the irony that sports stories that write themselves.

Ohio State NCG Hype Video!

Legendary Ohio State Coach To Enter Hall Of Fame

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Let it be known I don’t care what anyone thinks about Jim Tressel being inducted into the CFB Hall of Fame. He earned his spot in this class and should be honored. What ever your thoughts on Coach Tressel are he was one of the best coaches in the country.

Also pretty fitting he joins a class with Former Texas RB Ricky “I smoke a lot” Williams, Brian “I truly cheated” Bosworth, and Kansas St Coach Snyder.

The College Football National Championship Preview: Ohio State-Oregon

The path to this game for both Ohio State and Oregon was most likely not the ideal one if you were to ask both head coaches and fan bases, but never the less, they have arrived at the ultimate goal. Oregon’s path involved overcoming perceptions of being too soft and flashy to be taken seriously, as they dismantled Michigan State and Stanford throughout the year. They also lost key players throughout the season and at times had to adopt a mentality that Ohio State faced from the opening of fall camp, next man up. After an early October loss to Arizona, many began to write off the post Chip Kelly Oregon Ducks. However, led by their Heisman winning quarterback Marcus Mariota, the Ducks have reeled off 9 straight including two consecutive blow-out victories in the Pac-12 title game and the Rose Bowl. They enter this contest missing key players, including the Ducks leading receiver Devon Allen and their best corner Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, but the Ducks managed to not miss a beat against Florida State missing both players so expect them to be in full attack mode regardless of who takes the field for them.

For Ohio State the phrase next man up was not an adopted phrase used on and off during the year, it was a lifestyle for this team. Beginning with the seven NFL starters they lost from last years team, followed by the loss of Braxton Miller and Noah Spence, and then the sudden loss of J.T. Barrett, this team has had to learn and grow on the fly all season. Despite how green and naive this team was, Urban Meyer and his coaching staff, masterly guided this team through the storm of injuries and question marks. The one blemish on their record was an early season loss to Virginia Tech in which their quarterback and majority of offensive line were just in the second start of their respected careers. Since that loss Ohio State has proved doubters wrong all year. They traveled East Lansing and dismantled the defending Big Ten Champions Michigan State. They would continue on to the Big Ten Title game, where as under dogs and their third string quarterback at the helm in his first start, they shut out Melvin Gordon and the Wisconsin Badgers and hung up 59 points in route to claiming the first conference title under Urban Meyer. Following that massive win the Buckeyes were matched up with the world beaters and number one team in the country Alabama in the national semifinal. The Buckeyes would overcome an early 21-6 deficit and roll the Crimson Tide in a game that was not as close as the final score indicated, 42-35.

With the mini-season review in the books, lets begin to take a look at how these two teams match-up.

Ohio State Offense vs. Oregon Defense

The Buckeyes offense comes running in to the title game as balanced as it has been all season. Expect a similar look in the national title game. The Buckeye offense isn’t predictable, but it is at the same time. It’s predictable in the sense that if it can run inside zone then it will continue to run it until you can stop it. Generally speaking you’ll see inside zone, followed by a touch pass or jet sweep to stretch the defense horizontally, then either a deep crosser or shot down field off of play-action. That is generally the sequence of plays that this offense flows in regardless of who is at quarterback and who is lining up on the other side of the field.

However, against Oregon, I could see the Buckeyes taking more advantage of the run game and leaning on that more than they do on the arm of Jones. Its not that the coaching staff does not trust Jones, its just that Oregon allows teams to run the ball and it is somewhat by design. They do not over commit players in to the box. Even against Florida State the Ducks were content to allow the Noles to gain rushing yardage as long as their backs weren’t breaking off big plays. Therefore, I expect Zeke to have a good day rushing the ball. It is very conceivable that he could average 5 to 6 yards a carry, but the important stat for him in this game will be runs of 15+ yards. If Zeke begins to break off those runs and one or two go for a touchdown then it could change how the Ducks attack. The Ducks can implement a Bear look in their 3-4 defense, but I would be shocked to see Buckeye coaches and players not understand how to attack it.

When passing the ball the Ducks tend to only rush four and drop seven. They do have quality pass rushers and their four can definitely get home without needing extra blitzers, however, the majority of Oregon’s success versus Jameis Winston was based in the quality of their coverage rather than their four getting home quickly. Oregon does a very good job of disguising it’s zone and man coverage and almost always plays two deep safeties. Therefore, the middle of the field behind the linebackers should be open to exploit. Winston was able to at times exploit this area but their offense was never able to get in to rhythm due to the high volume of drops, turnovers, overthrows, and overall poor execution.

The bottom line in this part of the match-up is this: Oregon’s defense has holes that are able to be exploited, however they put every ounce of pressure on you to exploit them. If you make any ounce of a mistake they will make you pay by forcing a turnover and their offense is very good at making you pay twice by turning it in to points. The Buckeye’s success in this game will come down to red zone efficiency and the turnover battle. Unlike Alabama, Oregon’s offense is much less forgiving when opposing offenses stumble at points in the game.

Oregon Offense vs. Ohio State Defense

This is probably the more interesting match-up for both fan bases. The Ducks feel as though they have an unstoppable force with Mariota at the helm, and more often than not they are correct. This year, however, it isn’t just Mariota who is behind the success of the Ducks offense. The way Oregon attacks a defense is very similar to the way Ohio State does. Both coaching staffs have exchanged ideas several times so it is no surprise to see both offense look as similar as they do.

Like Ohio State’s offense, Oregon’s bread and butter is the inside power run. However, for the first time, the Ducks have a true power runner to run inside the tackles unlike previous years. Royce Freeman, true freshman from Imperial, California, has led the ducks in rushing this season running for over 1300 yards and 18 touchdowns. Freeman has a similar build to Zeke being 6’1, 230 pounds. His inside power has given the Ducks offense that extra “umph”. How important is that “umph”? Urban Meyer can easily say it put his offensive juggernaut over the top. Meyer never had a thousand yard rusher at running back until he coached two very physical runners, Carlos Hyde and Ezekiel Elliott, both of whom flourished with the inside zone run. Is Freeman as talented as Hyde and Elliott? Absolutely. And it gets worse.

The Ducks work off of that inside power and transition it to an inside read with Mariota who is the lightning to Freeman’s thunder. Unlike Braxton, Mariota is a north and south runner who gets north a lot faster than any other player in the country. Being that Mariota is a senior and has taken hundreds of snap in this offense his ball handling skills are the best in college football. A player that has comparable skills to Mariota when it comes to ball handling in the option offense? Navy quarterback Keenan Reynolds. So the Buckeyes will have had some experience but they faced Reynolds months ago and the Navy offense did not run at the tempo the Ducks offense did.

When the Ducks do get running at tempo, which is almost all the time, Mariota has just about mastered his decision making. The Ducks have built in checks to their offense so if Mariota notices a corner playing off and the box loaded he can read the play and throw the screen. This is what makes the Ducks offense so dangerous. They hit you with the run game vertically, mix in tempo, then attack you horizontally, mix in more tempo, throw the option game at you, followed by more tempo, and then hit you with a deep crosser where their receiver can pick up yards after the catch. This offense is almost a spitting image of what the Ohio State offense would look like if you put Braxton Miller’s legs on JT Barrett and added some wide receiver screens to the play calling, oh and speed it up by about 10. Now that I’ve properly scared you, here’s how you combat the offense, bend but don’t break and keep the ball away.

Do I think Ohio State has the talent to walk on the field and “shut down” the Oregon offense? No. The reason being is you don’t shut down this offense with sheer talent, ask Florida State. It takes negative plays, turnovers, and out executing them to beat them, very familiar to how you slow down Ohio State. Mariota will throw up a couple of questionable jump balls and if he does the Ohio State defense and offense have to capitalize.

If you hold this Oregon offense to less than 35 points then you should absolutely have a chance. Why 35? The one loss Oregon has this year it scored 24 points versus Arizona, every other game the Ducks scored no less than 38 points and won. This title game should be one for the ages. Best of luck to both teams, hope everyone enjoys!

It’s Deja Vu All Over Again For Ohio State

Ohio State suffers through a costly loss to an opponent, despite being heavily favored. The quarterback is under tremendous scrutiny. And Ohio State is to face an Oregon team that is supposedly too fast for Ohio State to be able to keep pace.

Yes, I know. We’re all eagerly awaiting to see how Ohio State plays against Oregon in The College Football Playoff National Championship Presented By AT&T (say that one ten times fast).

Actually, I am talking about the 2010 Rose Bowl.

A quick stroll down memory lane is in order – in 2009, Ohio State opened up against Navy, and had to escape with a close win (Ohio State 31, Navy 27). Despite a close loss to USC in week two, Ohio State fans were optimistic for the season…until losing at Purdue (Purdue 26, Ohio State 18). Ohio State won the remainder of its games to claim The Big Ten championship, only to be faced with an Oregon team that was loaded with speed in The 2010 Rose Bowl. Ohio State won, 26-17.

While impressive remembering the similarities between The 2010 Rose Bowl and this game, I believe the strategies used by Ohio State to slow down Oregon are possibly going to be used once again, this time by Ohio State Head Coach Urban Meyer.

Below are three critical areas I will be paying close attention to when Ohio State and Oregon kick off at 8:30pm EST on ESPN…

1. Will Ohio State Create A Collapsing Pocket Against Marcus Mariota? – Mariota is tremendously accurate as a passer and also blessed with exceptional speed. Instead of allowing Mariota to get to the outside of the pocket, will Ohio State try to contain Mariota within the pocket, and win the game as a pure pocket passer?

2. Ohio State Must Wrap Up Against Oregon – Defensively, Ohio State will be under tremendous physical scrutiny, with Oregon attempting to run plays every sixteen seconds. The defensive line and linebackers will not be able to substitute frequently, nor will the secondary players. A critical area against an Oregon team that has so much offensive speed will be to wrap up and tackle, thus negating the big plays that have been a staple of the Oregon offense.

3. Will Ohio State Control The Clock Against Oregon? – While I respect Coach Meyer’s more aggressive approach on offense, it will be so important for Ohio State to be content to use the clock fully when on offense. Running the ball with Ezekiel Elliott, Curtis Samuel, and yes, Cardale Jones, will help keep the Ohio State defense off the field, and also help to throw a wrench into Oregon’s plans to play at their typical fast-break pace.

As Yogi Berra once stated, “It’s deja vu all over again.”. At some point on Monday night, Ohio State fans will hopefully agree with Mr. Berra’s wise statement.